AI Match Insights

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Super League May 07, 2023

FC Basel 1893

Home
VS
14:30

FC Zurich

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
FC Basel 1893 Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
FC Zurich Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.25 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Basel 1893 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
FC Zurich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
FC Basel 1893 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 FC Basel … vs FC Winter… 1-4
Apr 27 FC Basel … vs FC Sion 1-2
Apr 23 FC Basel … vs FC Luzern 0-2
Apr 08 FC Basel … vs FC Zurich 1-1
Apr 01 FC Basel … vs FC Winter… 2-0
Mar 12 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 1-1
Mar 01 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 1-2
Feb 19 FC Basel … vs Servette … 2-2
Feb 11 FC Basel … vs FC Sion 3-1
Nov 06 FC Basel … vs FC Sion 0-0
FC Zurich Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 FC Zurich vs Servette … 4-0
Apr 23 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 1-0
Apr 08 FC Zurich vs FC Basel … 1-1
Mar 11 FC Zurich vs FC Lugano 2-0
Mar 05 FC Zurich vs Servette … 1-1
Oct 20 FC Zurich vs FC Basel … 0-0
Aug 03 FC Zurich vs FC Thun 3-3
Jul 01 FC Zurich vs FC Thun 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Basel 1893 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 08, 2023 FC Zurich 1 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Oct 20, 2022 FC Basel 1893 0 - 0 FC Zurich Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Basel 1893 to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Basel 1893 Power 0
FC Zurich Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

FC Basel 1893 Position

+5

Position Gap

9

FC Zurich Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.