AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A May 05, 2024

Junior

Home
VS
00:15

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
Junior Win
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Millonarios Win
47.6%
Away Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.39 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Junior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Junior Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Junior vs Millonari… 3-2
Mar 03 Junior vs Atlético … 0-0
Feb 26 Junior vs Deportivo… 3-3
Feb 22 Junior vs Santa Fe 3-0
Feb 19 Junior vs Deportes … 0-1
Feb 08 Junior vs Deportivo… 2-0
Feb 02 Junior vs Independi… 3-0
Jan 25 Junior vs Millonari… 2-0
Jan 19 Junior vs Millonari… 1-0
Dec 14 Junior vs Independi… 2-1
Millonarios Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Millonari… vs Chico 3-0
Apr 20 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Apr 17 Millonari… vs Junior 3-2
Apr 15 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Mar 17 Millonari… vs Envigado 1-1
Jan 29 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Jan 25 Millonari… vs Junior 2-0
Jan 21 Millonari… vs Independi… 5-0
Jan 19 Millonari… vs Junior 1-0
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Millonarios in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Junior struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2024 Millonarios 3 - 2 Junior Primera A
Jan 25, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 0 Junior Superliga
Jan 19, 2024 Junior 1 - 0 Millonarios Superliga
Oct 15, 2023 Millonarios 1 - 0 Junior Primera A
Apr 30, 2023 Junior 1 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Junior to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Junior Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Junior Position

+6

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.