AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Nov 23, 2024

Dinamo Zagreb

Home
VS
16:45

HNK Rijeka

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Dinamo Zagreb Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
HNK Rijeka Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.80 - 1.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.4
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
HNK Rijeka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Dinamo Zagreb Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 2-4
Oct 19 Dinamo Za… vs Istra 1961 2-2
Oct 06 Dinamo Za… vs NK Varažd… 0-1
Sep 28 Dinamo Za… vs NK Lokomo… 5-1
Sep 21 Dinamo Za… vs NK Slaven… 4-1
Sep 13 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Hajdu… 0-1
Sep 01 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
Aug 11 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 1-2
Aug 02 Dinamo Za… vs Istra 1961 5-0
May 22 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 1-3
HNK Rijeka Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 14 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Nov 10 HNK Rijeka vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
Nov 03 HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 0-1
Nov 02 HNK Rijeka vs HNK Rijeka 2-0
Oct 27 HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Za… 2-4
Oct 26 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Oct 20 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 2-1
Oct 18 HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomo… 2-2
Oct 05 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 0-0
Oct 04 HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • HNK Rijeka in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 4 HNK Rijeka HNL
Sep 01, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Aug 11, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
May 22, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 3 Dinamo Zagreb Cup
May 15, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka Cup
May 11, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
May 05, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Mar 03, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Feb 25, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Nov 25, 2023 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 HNK Rijeka HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dinamo Zagreb to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dinamo Zagreb Power 0
HNK Rijeka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Dinamo Zagreb Position

+4

Position Gap

5

HNK Rijeka Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.