AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 11, 2026

Portuguesa Santista

Home
VS
23:00

Rio Claro FC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Portuguesa Santista Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Rio Claro FC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.95 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portuguesa Santista Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Rio Claro FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Portuguesa Santista Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Portugues… vs Paulista … 2-0
Feb 01 Portugues… vs Rio Branc… 3-0
Jan 29 Portugues… vs USAC 1-0
Jan 24 Portugues… vs Bandeiran… 1-2
Aug 30 Portugues… vs Oeste 0-2
Aug 25 Portugues… vs Oeste 0-1
Aug 16 Portugues… vs São José … 1-1
Aug 10 Portugues… vs Taubaté 2-1
Aug 03 Portugues… vs São Caeta… 0-0
Jul 28 Portugues… vs Oeste 3-1
Rio Claro FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Rio Claro… vs Rio Branc… 3-1
Jan 31 Rio Claro… vs União São… 1-2
Jan 28 Rio Claro… vs Paulista … 2-1
Jan 24 Rio Claro… vs União Bar… 0-0
Mar 08 Rio Claro… vs São Berna… 3-0
Mar 01 Rio Claro… vs Ferroviár… 1-0
Feb 26 Rio Claro… vs Grêmio Pr… 0-0
Feb 22 Rio Claro… vs Votuporan… 0-0
Feb 19 Rio Claro… vs Taubaté 2-1
Aug 17 Rio Claro… vs União São… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portuguesa Santista in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Rio Claro FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portuguesa Santista to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portuguesa Santista Power 0
Rio Claro FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Portuguesa Santista Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Rio Claro FC Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.