AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 11, 2026

União Barbarense

Home
VS
22:30

Francana

Away
AI Predictions 52.5% Confidence
União Barbarense Win
52.5%
Draw
23.5%
Francana Win
24.0%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.35 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
União Barbarense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Francana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
União Barbarense Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 União Bar… vs Bandeiran… 0-0
Jan 31 União Bar… vs Rio Preto 1-1
Jan 28 União Bar… vs União São… 1-2
Jan 24 União Bar… vs Rio Claro… 0-0
Francana Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Francana vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jan 31 Francana vs XV de Jau 2-1
Jan 28 Francana vs Itapirense 2-0
Jan 25 Francana vs Catanduva 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Francana struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: União Barbarense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
União Barbarense Power 0
Francana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

União Barbarense Position

+6

Position Gap

13

Francana Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.