AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 11, 2026

Rio Preto

Home
VS
18:00

Marília

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Rio Preto Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Marília Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.54 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Preto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Marília Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Rio Preto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Rio Preto vs União São… 1-0
Jan 31 Rio Preto vs União Bar… 1-1
Jan 28 Rio Preto vs Catanduva 2-2
Jan 24 Rio Preto vs Rio Branc… 2-2
Mar 15 Rio Preto vs União São… 4-0
Mar 08 Rio Preto vs Sertãozin… 1-1
Mar 05 Rio Preto vs Marcílio … 1-1
Mar 01 Rio Preto vs Bandeiran… 3-0
Feb 26 Rio Preto vs Jataiense 0-0
Feb 05 Rio Preto vs EC São Be… 0-0
Marília Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Marília vs Itapirense 1-2
Jan 31 Marília vs Paulista … 0-0
Jan 28 Marília vs Bandeiran… 4-0
Jan 24 Marília vs EC São Be… 1-1
Apr 04 Marília vs Sertãozin… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marília in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rio Preto Power 0
Marília Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Rio Preto Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Marília Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.