AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 11, 2026

USAC

Home
VS
18:00

Itapirense

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
USAC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Itapirense Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.86 - 0.89
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.9
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
USAC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Itapirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
USAC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 USAC vs Catanduva 2-3
Feb 01 USAC vs EC São Be… 1-1
Jan 29 USAC vs Portugues… 1-0
Jan 24 USAC vs Desportiv… 0-1
Mar 15 USAC vs Desportiv… 1-0
Mar 12 USAC vs XV de Jau 2-1
Mar 08 USAC vs São Berna… 2-1
Mar 04 USAC vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Mar 01 USAC vs Maracanaú… 3-0
Feb 26 USAC vs Bandeiran… 3-0
Itapirense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Itapirense vs Marília 1-2
Jan 31 Itapirense vs Catanduva 2-0
Jan 28 Itapirense vs Francana 2-0
Jan 23 Itapirense vs Paulista … 2-2
Mar 15 Itapirense vs EC São Be… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • USAC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: USAC to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 84
USAC Power 0
Itapirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

USAC Position

-5

Position Gap

10

Itapirense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.