AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 07, 2026

EC São Bernardo

Home
VS
18:00

Rio Preto

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
EC São Bernardo Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Rio Preto Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.23 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
EC São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Rio Preto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
EC São Bernardo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 EC São Be… vs XV de Jau 2-0
Feb 01 EC São Be… vs USAC 1-1
Jan 28 EC São Be… vs Desportiv… 1-4
Jan 24 EC São Be… vs Marília 1-1
Mar 15 EC São Be… vs Itapirense 1-1
Feb 05 EC São Be… vs Rio Preto 0-0
Mar 13 EC São Be… vs Rio Preto 2-1
Jan 21 EC São Be… vs Rio Preto 0-4
Mar 16 EC São Be… vs Rio Preto 3-1
Rio Preto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Rio Preto vs União São… 1-0
Jan 31 Rio Preto vs União Bar… 1-1
Jan 28 Rio Preto vs Catanduva 2-2
Jan 24 Rio Preto vs Rio Branc… 2-2
Mar 15 Rio Preto vs União São… 4-0
Mar 08 Rio Preto vs Sertãozin… 1-1
Mar 05 Rio Preto vs Marcílio … 1-1
Mar 01 Rio Preto vs Bandeiran… 3-0
Feb 26 Rio Preto vs Jataiense 0-0
Feb 05 Rio Preto vs EC São Be… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2025 Rio Preto 0 - 0 EC São Bernardo Paulista - A3
Mar 13, 2024 EC São Bernardo 2 - 1 Rio Preto Paulista - A3
Jan 21, 2023 Rio Preto 0 - 4 EC São Bernardo Paulista - A3
Mar 16, 2022 EC São Bernardo 3 - 1 Rio Preto Paulista - A3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
EC São Bernardo Power 0
Rio Preto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

EC São Bernardo Position

-2

Position Gap

6

Rio Preto Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.