AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Feb 12, 2026

Capitao Poco

Home
VS
21:00

Águia de Marabá

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Capitao Poco Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Águia de Marabá Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.52 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Capitao Poco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Capitao Poco Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Capitao P… vs Bragantin… 0-0
Feb 01 Capitao P… vs Paysandu … 1-0
Jan 27 Capitao P… vs São Franc… 3-1
Apr 02 Capitao P… vs Castanhal 3-1
Mar 29 Capitao P… vs Paysandu … 2-0
Mar 02 Capitao P… vs Independi… 1-1
Feb 23 Capitao P… vs Bragantin… 1-1
Feb 16 Capitao P… vs São Franc… 2-0
Jan 19 Capitao P… vs Paysandu … 4-1
Águia de Marabá Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 0-2
Jan 25 Águia de … vs Santa Rosa 2-0
Apr 12 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 1-1
Apr 06 Águia de … vs Bragantin… 2-2
Apr 01 Águia de … vs Paysandu … 3-1
Mar 29 Águia de … vs Bragantin… 0-0
Mar 02 Águia de … vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Jan 29 Águia de … vs Remo 0-1
Feb 25 Águia de … vs Remo 2-0
Feb 03 Águia de … vs Santos 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capitao Poco struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Capitao Poco Power 0
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Capitao Poco Position

-10

Position Gap

2

Águia de Marabá Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.