AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Feb 05, 2026

Capitao Poco

Home
VS
13:00

Bragantino PA

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Capitao Poco Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Bragantino PA Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 37%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 53%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
xG: 2.96 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4 Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Capitao Poco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Bragantino PA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Capitao Poco Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Capitao Pā€¦ vs Paysandu ā€¦ 1-0
Jan 27 Capitao Pā€¦ vs SĆ£o Francā€¦ 3-1
Apr 02 Capitao Pā€¦ vs Castanhal 3-1
Mar 29 Capitao Pā€¦ vs Paysandu ā€¦ 2-0
Mar 02 Capitao Pā€¦ vs Independiā€¦ 1-1
Feb 23 Capitao Pā€¦ vs Bragantinā€¦ 1-1
Feb 16 Capitao Pā€¦ vs SĆ£o Francā€¦ 2-0
Jan 19 Capitao Pā€¦ vs Paysandu ā€¦ 4-1
Bragantino PA Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Bragantinā€¦ vs CametĆ” 1-1
Jan 24 Bragantinā€¦ vs Remo 2-1
Apr 06 Bragantinā€¦ vs Ɓguia de ā€¦ 2-2
Apr 03 Bragantinā€¦ vs Santa Rosa 4-1
Mar 29 Bragantinā€¦ vs Ɓguia de ā€¦ 0-0
Feb 23 Bragantinā€¦ vs Capitao Pā€¦ 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capitao Poco struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 Capitao Poco 1 - 1 Bragantino PA Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Capitao Poco to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 87
Capitao Poco Power 0
Bragantino PA Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Capitao Poco Position

-2

Position Gap

10

Bragantino PA Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.