AI Match Insights
Paraense Feb 04, 2026
Sao Raimundo PA
HomeVS
19:00
Castanhal
AwayAI Predictions 38.8% Confidence
Sao Raimundo PA Win
Draw
Castanhal Win
Away Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
Combined: 45%
Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.84 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sao Raimundo PA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Castanhal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
Sao Raimundo PA Form 5.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Sao Raimu… vs Amazônia … | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Sao Raimu… vs Paysandu … | 2-0 |
Castanhal Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31 | Castanhal vs Santa Rosa | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castanhal vs Cametá | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Castanhal vs Tuna Luso | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | Castanhal vs Capitao P… | 3-1 |
| Mar 30 | Castanhal vs Tuna Luso | 3-3 |
| Mar 02 | Castanhal vs Paysandu … | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Castanhal vs Cametá | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Castanhal vs Santos | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Castanhal vs Santos | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Castanhal vs Cametá | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Sao Raimundo PA Power
0
Castanhal Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
12
Sao Raimundo PA Position-10
Position Gap2
Castanhal Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.