AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Feb 04, 2026

Tuna Luso

Home
VS
18:30

Paysandu SC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Tuna Luso Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Paysandu SC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 35%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 52%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
xG: 2.92 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.6 Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Paysandu SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Tuna Luso Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 0-2
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 1-0
Apr 12 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 2-1
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Remo 2-1
Mar 30 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 3-3
Mar 14 Tuna Luso vs CSA 5-0
Feb 01 Tuna Luso vs Cametá 3-0
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Jan 20 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 0-0
Paysandu SC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Paysandu … vs Capitao P… 1-0
Jan 25 Paysandu … vs Sao Raimu… 2-0
Nov 14 Paysandu … vs Amazonas 2-2
Nov 09 Paysandu … vs Corinthia… 1-2
Oct 31 Paysandu … vs Athletico… 2-1
Oct 25 Paysandu … vs Avaí 1-2
Oct 20 Paysandu … vs Ferroviár… 2-2
Oct 14 Paysandu … vs Remo 2-3
Oct 08 Paysandu … vs Botafogo 1-0
Oct 02 Paysandu … vs Cuiabá 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tuna Luso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2025 Paysandu SC 2 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 15, 2024 Paysandu SC 2 - 1 Tuna Luso Friendlies Clu…
Apr 19, 2023 Paysandu SC 1 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Apr 16, 2023 Tuna Luso 1 - 4 Paysandu SC Paraense
Mar 18, 2023 Paysandu SC 2 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 30, 2022 Tuna Luso 0 - 3 Paysandu SC Paraense
May 23, 2021 Paysandu SC 4 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
May 16, 2021 Tuna Luso 4 - 2 Paysandu SC Paraense
Apr 24, 2021 Paysandu SC 2 - 0 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuna Luso Power 0
Paysandu SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Tuna Luso Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Paysandu SC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.