AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 21, 2026

Inverness CT

Home
VS
15:00

Stenhousemuir

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Inverness CT Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Stenhousemuir Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.98 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Inverness CT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Inverness CT Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Inverness… vs Queen of … 1-1
Jan 27 Inverness… vs Stenhouse… 1-0
Jan 24 Inverness… vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Jan 20 Inverness… vs East Fife 0-2
Jan 17 Inverness… vs Spartans 0-0
Jan 13 Inverness… vs Partick 3-3
Jan 10 Inverness… vs Rangers FC 0-0
Dec 27 Inverness… vs Montrose 2-1
Dec 20 Inverness… vs Stenhouse… 1-0
Dec 16 Inverness… vs Dumbarton 0-9
Stenhousemuir Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 0-1
Jan 27 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Jan 24 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Jan 17 Stenhouse… vs Morton 4-0
Jan 13 Stenhouse… vs Stirling … 1-2
Jan 10 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 5-0
Jan 03 Stenhouse… vs Queen of … 2-0
Dec 27 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Dec 20 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Dec 13 Stenhouse… vs Montrose 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Inverness CT in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Stenhousemuir in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2026 Inverness CT 1 - 0 Stenhousemuir Challenge Cup
Dec 20, 2025 Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Inverness CT League One
Aug 16, 2025 Inverness CT 1 - 2 Stenhousemuir League One
Apr 19, 2025 Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Inverness CT League One
Mar 11, 2025 Inverness CT 4 - 1 Stenhousemuir League One
Dec 21, 2024 Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Inverness CT League One
Sep 28, 2024 Inverness CT 0 - 0 Stenhousemuir League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Inverness CT to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Inverness CT Power 0
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Inverness CT Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Stenhousemuir Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.