AI Match Insights

League Cup Feb 11, 2026

IFK Mariehamn

Home
VS
16:00

Turku PS

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
IFK Mariehamn Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Turku PS Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
IFK Mariehamn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Turku PS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
IFK Mariehamn Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 IFK Marie… vs IF Gnistan 2-2
Jan 24 IFK Marie… vs Inter Tur… 1-0
Jan 16 IFK Marie… vs HJK Helsi… 0-1
Oct 18 IFK Marie… vs AC Oulu 2-0
Oct 04 IFK Marie… vs Kooteepee 1-1
Sep 28 IFK Marie… vs FF Jaro 2-3
Sep 21 IFK Marie… vs Vaasan Pa… 2-1
Sep 13 IFK Marie… vs HamKam 1-1
Aug 31 IFK Marie… vs Rivers Un… 2-1
Aug 24 IFK Marie… vs HJK Helsi… 8-2
Turku PS Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Turku PS vs FC Lahti 5-1
Jan 23 Turku PS vs HamKam 1-2
Oct 26 Turku PS vs Kooteepee 2-3
Oct 23 Turku PS vs Kooteepee 3-0
Oct 18 Turku PS vs FC Lahti 3-3
Jul 14 Turku PS vs FC Lahti 2-2
May 21 Turku PS vs FC Lahti 2-2
Mar 29 Turku PS vs FC Lahti 3-2
Jul 03 Turku PS vs Inter Tur… 3-2
Oct 22 Turku PS vs Inter Tur… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: IFK Mariehamn to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
IFK Mariehamn Power 0
Turku PS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.