AI Match Insights
League Cup Feb 07, 2026
IFK Mariehamn
HomeVS
15:30
FC Lahti
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
IFK Mariehamn Win
Draw
FC Lahti Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.03 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
IFK Mariehamn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
FC Lahti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
IFK Mariehamn Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30 | IFK Marieā¦ vs IF Gnistan | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | IFK Marieā¦ vs Inter Turā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | IFK Marieā¦ vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | IFK Marieā¦ vs AC Oulu | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | IFK Marieā¦ vs Kooteepee | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | IFK Marieā¦ vs FF Jaro | 2-3 |
| Sep 21 | IFK Marieā¦ vs Vaasan Paā¦ | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | IFK Marieā¦ vs HamKam | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | IFK Marieā¦ vs Rivers Unā¦ | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | IFK Marieā¦ vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 8-2 |
FC Lahti Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31 | FC Lahti vs Turku PS | 5-1 |
| Jan 24 | FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 2-0 |
| Nov 14 | FC Lahti vs PK-35 | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | FC Lahti vs Turku PS | 3-3 |
| Jul 14 | FC Lahti vs Turku PS | 2-2 |
| May 21 | FC Lahti vs Turku PS | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | FC Lahti vs Turku PS | 3-2 |
| Sep 19 | FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā¦ | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | FC Lahti vs IFK Marieā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | FC Lahti vs HJK Helsiā¦ | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Lahti in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | FC Lahti | 2 - 1 | IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | IFK Mariehamn | 0 - 0 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| May 12, 2024 | FC Lahti | 3 - 0 | IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 23, 2024 | FC Lahti | 1 - 1 | IFK Mariehamn | League Cup |
| Oct 08, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 0 - 0 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 23, 2023 | FC Lahti | 0 - 2 | IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 16, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 2 - 3 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 19, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 0 - 2 | FC Lahti | League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2022 | IFK Mariehamn | 6 - 0 | FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 26, 2022 | FC Lahti | 0 - 2 | IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: IFK Mariehamn to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
IFK Mariehamn Power
0
FC Lahti Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.