AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 10, 2026

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
19:45

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Dumbarton Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.67 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Alloa Athletic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Jan 31 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 1-0
Jan 24 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 3-1
Jan 24 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-2
Jan 20 Alloa Ath… vs Montrose 4-1
Jan 03 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 1-1
Dec 27 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 0-0
Dec 27 Alloa Ath… vs Stranraer 2-2
Dec 20 Alloa Ath… vs East Kilb… 1-3
Dec 20 Alloa Ath… vs Hamilton … 1-0
Dumbarton Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dumbarton vs Edinburgh… 1-1
Jan 24 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 2-2
Jan 03 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-0
Dec 27 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 1-2
Dec 20 Dumbarton vs Stranraer 1-1
Dec 16 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 0-9
Dec 13 Dumbarton vs East Kilb… 2-0
Dec 06 Dumbarton vs Edinburgh… 4-3
Nov 29 Dumbarton vs Auchinlec… 0-4
Nov 22 Dumbarton vs Forfar At… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Alloa Athletic in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Dumbarton 2 - 1 Alloa Athletic League Two
Aug 23, 2025 Alloa Athletic 3 - 4 Dumbarton League Two
Apr 26, 2025 Dumbarton 3 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Mar 29, 2025 Alloa Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League One
Feb 08, 2025 Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Feb 01, 2025 Dumbarton 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Dec 14, 2024 Dumbarton 1 - 5 Alloa Athletic League One
Dec 03, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Nov 29, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 2 Alloa Athletic FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.