AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Obos Supercup Feb 07, 2026

Bærum

Home
VS
13:00

Grorud

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bærum Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Grorud Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 4.50 - 3.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 3.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bærum Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Grorud Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-3 (3%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Bærum Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Bærum vs Lørenskog 2-2
Jan 23 Bærum vs Stabæk 3-0
Apr 12 Bærum vs Grorud 3-3
Mar 16 Bærum vs Alashkert 4-0
Apr 24 Bærum vs Stabæk 0-5
Grorud Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Grorud vs Stabæk 1-2
Nov 09 Grorud vs Brattvåg … 0-2
Nov 02 Grorud vs Brattvåg … 2-1
May 07 Grorud vs Lillestrøm 2-3
Apr 24 Grorud vs Hødd 3-1
Apr 12 Grorud vs Bærum 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grorud struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Bærum 3 - 3 Grorud NM Cupen
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bærum to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bærum Power 0
Grorud Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.