AI Match Insights

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Sergipano Feb 22, 2024

Confiança

Home
VS
23:00

Atlético Alagoinhas

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Confiança Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 3.09 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Atlético Alagoinhas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Confiança Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Confiança vs Sergipe 2-1
Jan 30 Confiança vs Falcon 1-0
Apr 09 Confiança vs Lagarto 2-0
Apr 01 Confiança vs Lagarto 0-0
Mar 15 Confiança vs Falcon 0-2
Mar 04 Confiança vs Lagarto 2-0
Feb 12 Confiança vs Sergipe 1-0
Jan 21 Confiança vs Atlético … 2-1
Apr 03 Confiança vs Falcon 1-1
Apr 01 Confiança vs Falcon 1-1
Atlético Alagoinhas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Atlético … vs Serra Bra… 0-1
Feb 15 Atlético … vs Bahia de … 1-2
Feb 07 Atlético … vs Nacional … 1-2
Feb 07 Atlético … vs Figueiren… 2-3
Jan 31 Atlético … vs AO Itabai… 2-3
Jan 30 Atlético … vs Treze 2-0
Jan 28 Atlético … vs Jequié 2-0
Jan 28 Atlético … vs Lagarto 2-1
Oct 19 Atlético … vs Pombal EC 1-0
Mar 25 Atlético … vs Lagarto 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Atlético Alagoinhas struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2023 Confiança 2 - 1 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Mar 19, 2022 Atlético Alagoinhas 0 - 0 Confiança Sergipano
Feb 08, 2022 Confiança 2 - 2 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Apr 17, 2021 Atlético Alagoinhas 1 - 1 Confiança Sergipano
Feb 20, 2021 Confiança 2 - 1 Atlético Alagoinhas Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Confiança to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Confiança Power 0
Atlético Alagoinhas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.