AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Mar 29, 2025

Bragantino PA

Home
VS
18:00

Águia de Marabá

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Bragantino PA Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Águia de Marabá Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.78 - 1.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bragantino PA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Bragantino PA Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Bragantin… vs Capitao P… 1-1
Águia de Marabá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Águia de … vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Jan 29 Águia de … vs Remo 0-1
Feb 25 Águia de … vs Remo 2-0
Feb 03 Águia de … vs Santos 1-1
Jan 20 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 0-0
May 26 Águia de … vs Remo 2-1
May 18 Águia de … vs Remo 1-0
Feb 15 Águia de … vs Remo 1-2
Feb 11 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 1-2
Apr 06 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Águia de Marabá struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bragantino PA Power 0
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bragantino PA Position

-8

Position Gap

2

Águia de Marabá Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.