AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
PFL May 18, 2024

Stallion

Home
VS
09:30

Mendiola

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Stallion Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Mendiola Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.18 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stallion Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Mendiola Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Stallion Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Stallion vs Taguig 3-3
Sep 09 Stallion vs Mendiola 0-1
May 14 Stallion vs Mendiola 2-0
Apr 16 Stallion vs Mendiola 0-3
Oct 02 Stallion vs Mendiola 0-4
Aug 08 Stallion vs Mendiola 2-0
Mendiola Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 09 Mendiola vs Stallion 0-1
Sep 02 Mendiola vs Tuloy 4-4
May 14 Mendiola vs Stallion 2-0
Apr 16 Mendiola vs Stallion 0-3
Oct 02 Mendiola vs Stallion 0-4
Aug 08 Mendiola vs Stallion 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stallion in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Mendiola struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 09, 2023 Stallion 0 - 1 Mendiola Copa Paulino A…
May 14, 2023 Stallion 2 - 0 Mendiola PFL
Apr 16, 2023 Mendiola 0 - 3 Stallion PFL
Oct 02, 2022 Mendiola 0 - 4 Stallion PFL
Aug 08, 2022 Stallion 2 - 0 Mendiola PFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stallion Power 0
Mendiola Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Stallion Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Mendiola Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.