AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Oct 23, 2022

SC Braga

Home
VS
18:00

Fafe

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
SC Braga Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Fafe Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.34 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Braga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Fafe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
SC Braga Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 SC Braga vs Estoril 0-2
Oct 08 SC Braga vs Guimaraes 2-2
Sep 03 SC Braga vs Guimaraes 1-0
Aug 19 SC Braga vs Varzim 1-1
Aug 12 SC Braga vs Famalicao 0-3
May 15 SC Braga vs Famalicao 3-2
Apr 18 SC Braga vs Estoril 0-0
Apr 14 SC Braga vs Rangers FC 3-1
Apr 07 SC Braga vs Rangers FC 1-0
Mar 05 SC Braga vs São João … 1-1
Fafe Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Fafe vs Paredes 0-0
Aug 20 Fafe vs São João … 1-1
Feb 13 Fafe vs Guimaraes 1-3
Dec 17 Fafe vs SC Braga 1-2
Dec 11 Fafe vs São João … 1-1
Nov 06 Fafe vs Guimaraes 2-0
Oct 17 Fafe vs Moreirense 1-1
Aug 20 Fafe vs SC Braga 2-2
Aug 15 Fafe vs São João … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Braga in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 17, 2021 SC Braga 1 - 2 Fafe Liga 3
Aug 20, 2021 Fafe 2 - 2 SC Braga Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Braga Power 0
Fafe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.