AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Apr 12, 2025

Dinamo Zagreb

Home
VS
16:45

HNK Rijeka

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Dinamo Zagreb Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
HNK Rijeka Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.14 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
HNK Rijeka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Dinamo Zagreb Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 Dinamo Za… vs Istra 1961 3-0
Mar 30 Dinamo Za… vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Mar 15 Dinamo Za… vs NK Lokomo… 3-0
Mar 09 Dinamo Za… vs NK Slaven… 0-1
Mar 02 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Hajdu… 2-2
Feb 26 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 0-1
Feb 22 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 4-0
Feb 02 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 2-1
Jan 25 Dinamo Za… vs Istra 1961 3-1
Dec 22 Dinamo Za… vs NK Varažd… 3-2
HNK Rijeka Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomo… 0-1
Apr 04 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 0-0
Apr 02 HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 1-0
Mar 29 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 2-1
Mar 29 HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 2-1
Mar 16 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 0-0
Mar 16 HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajdu… 3-0
Mar 14 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 0-3
Mar 09 HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajdu… 2-1
Mar 05 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 26, 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1 HNK Rijeka Cup
Feb 22, 2025 HNK Rijeka 4 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Feb 02, 2025 HNK Rijeka 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Nov 23, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Oct 27, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 4 HNK Rijeka HNL
Sep 01, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Aug 11, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
May 22, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 3 Dinamo Zagreb Cup
May 15, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka Cup
May 11, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dinamo Zagreb to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dinamo Zagreb Power 0
HNK Rijeka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Dinamo Zagreb Position

+4

Position Gap

5

HNK Rijeka Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.