AI Match Insights

HNL Oct 27, 2024

Dinamo Zagreb

Home
VS
14:00

HNK Rijeka

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Dinamo Zagreb Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
HNK Rijeka Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
HNK Rijeka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Dinamo Zagreb Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Dinamo Za… vs Istra 1961 2-2
Oct 06 Dinamo Za… vs NK Varažd… 0-1
Sep 28 Dinamo Za… vs NK Lokomo… 5-1
Sep 21 Dinamo Za… vs NK Slaven… 4-1
Sep 13 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Hajdu… 0-1
Sep 01 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
Aug 11 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 1-2
Aug 02 Dinamo Za… vs Istra 1961 5-0
May 22 Dinamo Za… vs HNK Rijeka 1-3
May 18 Dinamo Za… vs NK Slaven… 2-3
HNK Rijeka Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 1-1
Oct 20 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 2-1
Oct 18 HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomo… 2-2
Oct 05 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 0-0
Oct 04 HNK Rijeka vs Istra 1961 2-1
Sep 30 HNK Rijeka vs NK Slaven… 2-1
Sep 29 HNK Rijeka vs NK Varažd… 2-1
Sep 29 HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajdu… 0-0
Sep 21 HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajdu… 4-1
Sep 01 HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Za… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Aug 11, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
May 22, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 3 Dinamo Zagreb Cup
May 15, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0 HNK Rijeka Cup
May 11, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
May 05, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Mar 03, 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb HNL
Feb 25, 2024 Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 HNK Rijeka HNL
Nov 25, 2023 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 HNK Rijeka HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dinamo Zagreb to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dinamo Zagreb Power 0
HNK Rijeka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Dinamo Zagreb Position

+4

Position Gap

5

HNK Rijeka Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.