AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 09, 2026

Union Magdalena

Home
VS
21:00

Popayan

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Union Magdalena Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Popayan Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.37 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Union Magdalena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Popayan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Union Magdalena Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Union Mag… vs Orsomarso 0-1
Jan 26 Union Mag… vs Bogota FC 0-0
Nov 14 Union Mag… vs Fortaleza… 2-0
Nov 09 Union Mag… vs America d… 3-0
Oct 30 Union Mag… vs Deportes … 0-2
Oct 26 Union Mag… vs Once Cald… 1-0
Oct 17 Union Mag… vs Envigado 3-1
Oct 12 Union Mag… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Oct 04 Union Mag… vs Rionegro … 3-2
Sep 27 Union Mag… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Popayan Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Popayan vs Real Soac… 1-1
Feb 01 Popayan vs Tigres FC 2-0
Jan 26 Popayan vs Quindio 0-1
Nov 24 Popayan vs Real Cart… 0-0
Nov 20 Popayan vs Real Soac… 1-0
Nov 15 Popayan vs Patriotas… 1-0
Nov 12 Popayan vs Patriotas… 1-0
Nov 07 Popayan vs Real Soac… 0-1
Nov 01 Popayan vs Real Cart… 1-1
Oct 27 Popayan vs Jaguares 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Popayan struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2024 Union Magdalena 1 - 0 Popayan Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Union Magdalena to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Union Magdalena Power 0
Popayan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Union Magdalena Position

+8

Position Gap

16

Popayan Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.