AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 04, 2026

Ind. Yumbo

Home
VS
23:00

Real Cartagena

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
Ind. Yumbo Win
30.0%
Draw
28.0%
Real Cartagena Win
42.0%
Away Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.54 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ind. Yumbo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Real Cartagena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Ind. Yumbo Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ind. Yumbo vs Envigado 2-0
Jan 25 Ind. Yumbo vs Depor FC 1-1
Real Cartagena Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Real Cart… vs Real Soac… 1-0
Jan 23 Real Cart… vs Real Sant… 0-1
Nov 24 Real Cart… vs Popayan 0-0
Nov 20 Real Cart… vs Patriotas… 0-1
Nov 17 Real Cart… vs Real Soac… 1-2
Nov 12 Real Cart… vs Real Soac… 0-0
Nov 07 Real Cart… vs Patriotas… 2-2
Nov 01 Real Cart… vs Popayan 1-1
Oct 27 Real Cart… vs Quindio 0-0
Oct 19 Real Cart… vs Cúcuta De… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Cartagena in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ind. Yumbo Power 0
Real Cartagena Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Ind. Yumbo Position

-7

Position Gap

5

Real Cartagena Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.