AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 04, 2026

Tigres FC

Home
VS
20:00

Orsomarso

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Tigres FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Orsomarso Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 48%
Market 42%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 52%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
xG: 1.69 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0 Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Orsomarso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Tigres FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Tigres FC vs Popayan 2-0
Jan 26 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 0-0
Oct 25 Tigres FC vs Barranqui… 2-2
Oct 20 Tigres FC vs Bogota FC 1-1
Oct 17 Tigres FC vs Quindio 2-1
Oct 06 Tigres FC vs Patriotas… 2-3
Sep 28 Tigres FC vs Internaci… 0-1
Sep 22 Tigres FC vs Popayan 0-1
Sep 13 Tigres FC vs Real Soac… 0-2
Sep 06 Tigres FC vs Bogota FC 1-0
Orsomarso Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Orsomarso vs Union Mag… 0-1
Jan 24 Orsomarso vs Barranqui… 1-2
Oct 25 Orsomarso vs Cúcuta De… 1-0
Oct 19 Orsomarso vs Quindio 2-3
Oct 13 Orsomarso vs Internaci… 0-0
Oct 07 Orsomarso vs Real Soac… 1-1
Sep 28 Orsomarso vs Popayan 0-3
Sep 21 Orsomarso vs Real Cart… 3-1
Sep 14 Orsomarso vs Real Sant… 1-0
Sep 06 Orsomarso vs Internaci… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Orsomarso struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 Tigres FC 2 - 0 Orsomarso Primera B
Feb 22, 2025 Orsomarso 1 - 1 Tigres FC Primera B
Aug 12, 2024 Orsomarso 1 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Jun 01, 2024 Tigres FC 0 - 1 Orsomarso Primera B
May 28, 2024 Orsomarso 4 - 1 Tigres FC Primera B
Feb 20, 2024 Tigres FC 0 - 1 Orsomarso Primera B
Aug 21, 2023 Tigres FC 1 - 3 Orsomarso Primera B
Mar 05, 2023 Orsomarso 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 12, 2022 Tigres FC 1 - 0 Orsomarso Primera B
Feb 26, 2022 Orsomarso 0 - 2 Tigres FC Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres FC Power 0
Orsomarso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres FC Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Orsomarso Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.