AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Feb 11, 2026

Génesis

Home
VS
21:00

CD Motagua

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Génesis Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
CD Motagua Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.69 - 1.30
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Génesis Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Génesis vs Atlético … 0-0
Jan 28 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-2
Jan 26 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 1-0
Dec 07 Génesis vs Platense … 1-1
Dec 03 Génesis vs Juticalpa 2-2
Nov 27 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-0
Nov 23 Génesis vs Victoria 2-1
Nov 09 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 6-2
Nov 02 Génesis vs Atlético … 1-0
Oct 26 Génesis vs Olancho 2-2
CD Motagua Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-1
Jan 30 CD Motagua vs Platense … 2-0
Dec 24 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-1
Dec 21 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Dec 18 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 2-0
Dec 14 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 0-3
Dec 07 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 1-7
Dec 03 CD Motagua vs Platense … 0-4
Nov 28 CD Motagua vs Lobos Upn… 0-0
Nov 24 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 CD Motagua 4 - 3 Génesis Liga Nacional
Jul 26, 2025 Génesis 2 - 1 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Génesis Power 0
CD Motagua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.