AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 1 Feb 09, 2026

Quixada

Home
VS
22:00

Maranguape

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Quixada Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Maranguape Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.27 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Quixada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Maranguape Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Quixada Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Quixada vs Maracanaú… 2-3
Jan 29 Quixada vs Pague Men… 0-1
Jan 22 Quixada vs Ferroviar… 1-2
Jan 15 Quixada vs Fortaleza 4-0
Jan 10 Quixada vs Maracanaú… 1-0
Jan 07 Quixada vs Horizonte 0-0
Nov 23 Quixada vs Uniclinic… 2-0
Nov 08 Quixada vs Itapipoca 3-0
Nov 02 Quixada vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Apr 12 Quixada vs Maguary PE 1-1
Maranguape Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Maranguape vs Pague Men… 3-2
Jan 28 Maranguape vs Maracanaú… 1-1
Jan 17 Maranguape vs Floresta 0-3
Jan 15 Maranguape vs Ceará 1-0
Jan 11 Maranguape vs Pague Men… 1-0
Jan 08 Maranguape vs Iguatu 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Quixada struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Quixada to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 95
Quixada Power 0
Maranguape Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Quixada Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Maranguape Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.