AI Match Insights
Cearense - 1 Feb 08, 2026
Ceará
HomeVS
21:00
Fortaleza
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Ceará Win
Draw
Fortaleza Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
Combined: 43%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.40
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceará Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Fortaleza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (50%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
97%
Ceará Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Ceará vs Horizonte | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | Ceará vs Ferroviar… | 1-5 |
| Jan 22 | Ceará vs Pague Men… | 1-4 |
| Jan 17 | Ceará vs Iguatu | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Ceará vs Maranguape | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Ceará vs Floresta | 0-1 |
| Dec 04 | Ceará vs Flamengo | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Ceará vs Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Ceará vs Mirassol | 3-0 |
| Nov 21 | Ceará vs Internaci… | 1-2 |
Fortaleza Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31 | Fortaleza vs Iguatu | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Fortaleza vs Floresta | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Fortaleza vs Horizonte | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Fortaleza vs Maracanaú… | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Fortaleza vs Quixada | 4-0 |
| Jan 11 | Fortaleza vs Ferroviar… | 0-0 |
| Dec 03 | Fortaleza vs Corinthia… | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | Fortaleza vs Pague Men… | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Fortaleza vs Atletico-… | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Fortaleza vs RB Bragan… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 06, 2025 | Ceará | 1 - 1 | Fortaleza | Serie A |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0 - 1 | Ceará | Serie A |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ceará | 1 - 1 | Fortaleza | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fortaleza | 0 - 1 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Fortaleza | 1 - 2 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Ceará | 1 - 1 | Fortaleza | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0 - 0 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 0 - 1 | Ceará | Copa do Nordes… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3 - 3 | Ceará | Cearense - 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Ceará to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Ceará Power
0
Fortaleza Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Ceará Position0
Position Gap1
Fortaleza Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.