AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 1 Feb 04, 2026

Maracanaú FC

Home
VS
22:00

Quixada

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Maracanaú FC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Quixada Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.10 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maracanaú FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Quixada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Maracanaú FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Maracanaú… vs Maranguape 1-1
Jan 18 Maracanaú… vs Fortaleza 1-0
Jan 13 Maracanaú… vs Horizonte 1-2
Jan 10 Maracanaú… vs Quixada 1-0
Jan 06 Maracanaú… vs Ferroviar… 0-1
Dec 05 Maracanaú… vs Pague Men… 2-1
Nov 29 Maracanaú… vs Ceará II 1-2
Nov 26 Maracanaú… vs Itapipoca 0-0
Nov 09 Maracanaú… vs Caucaia 0-1
Nov 05 Maracanaú… vs Ceará II 2-0
Quixada Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Quixada vs Pague Men… 0-1
Jan 22 Quixada vs Ferroviar… 1-2
Jan 15 Quixada vs Fortaleza 4-0
Jan 10 Quixada vs Maracanaú… 1-0
Jan 07 Quixada vs Horizonte 0-0
Nov 23 Quixada vs Uniclinic… 2-0
Nov 08 Quixada vs Itapipoca 3-0
Nov 02 Quixada vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Apr 12 Quixada vs Maguary PE 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maracanaú FC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Quixada struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 10, 2026 Quixada 1 - 0 Maracanaú FC Cearense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maracanaú FC Power 0
Quixada Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Maracanaú FC Position

-2

Position Gap

2

Quixada Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.