AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 1 Feb 01, 2026

Ceará

Home
VS
21:00

Horizonte

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Ceará Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Horizonte Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 83%
Market 70%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 45%
Asian Handicap: Home -2
xG: 1.26 - 0.90
Key Insights
Market confidence: 68% Asian Handicap: Home -2
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceará Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Horizonte Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Ceará Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Ceará vs Ferroviar… 1-5
Jan 22 Ceará vs Pague Men… 1-4
Jan 17 Ceará vs Iguatu 1-1
Jan 15 Ceará vs Maranguape 1-0
Jan 10 Ceará vs Floresta 0-1
Dec 04 Ceará vs Flamengo 1-0
Nov 30 Ceará vs Cruzeiro 1-1
Nov 24 Ceará vs Mirassol 3-0
Nov 21 Ceará vs Internaci… 1-2
Nov 09 Ceará vs Corinthia… 0-1
Horizonte Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Horizonte vs Iguatu 1-1
Jan 22 Horizonte vs Fortaleza 0-1
Jan 16 Horizonte vs Ferroviar… 2-2
Jan 13 Horizonte vs Maracanaú… 1-2
Jan 07 Horizonte vs Quixada 0-0
Feb 23 Horizonte vs Maracanaú… 1-0
Feb 16 Horizonte vs Maracanaú… 2-3
Feb 08 Horizonte vs Iguatu 1-1
Feb 04 Horizonte vs Pague Men… 0-0
Jan 25 Horizonte vs Fortaleza 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ceará in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ceará to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ceará Power 0
Horizonte Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Ceará Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Horizonte Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.