AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense - 1 Jan 11, 2026

Maranguape

Home
VS
19:00

Pague Menos

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Maranguape Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Pague Menos Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.39 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maranguape Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Pague Menos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Maranguape Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Maranguape vs Iguatu 2-0
Pague Menos Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Pague Men… vs Floresta 0-2
Dec 05 Pague Men… vs Maracanaú… 2-1
Dec 01 Pague Men… vs Fortaleza 1-1
Nov 27 Pague Men… vs Ferroviár… 3-2
Feb 22 Pague Men… vs Ferroviár… 0-3
Feb 15 Pague Men… vs Ferroviár… 2-1
Feb 08 Pague Men… vs Floresta 2-0
Feb 04 Pague Men… vs Horizonte 0-0
Jan 18 Pague Men… vs Ceará 2-1
Mar 28 Pague Men… vs Maguary PE 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maranguape Power 0
Pague Menos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Maranguape Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Pague Menos Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.