AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano Feb 07, 2026

Sousa

Home
VS
20:00

Atlético Cajazeirense

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sousa Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Atlético Cajazeirense Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.27 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sousa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Atlético Cajazeirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Sousa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sousa vs EC de Pat… 0-1
Jan 28 Sousa vs Treze 2-1
Jan 24 Sousa vs Botafogo … 1-1
Jan 22 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 2-1
Jan 17 Sousa vs Confiança… 3-0
Jan 04 Sousa vs Potiguar … 1-0
Mar 30 Sousa vs Botafogo 1-1
Mar 27 Sousa vs Ferroviár… 2-0
Mar 23 Sousa vs Botafogo 1-0
Mar 16 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 1-1
Atlético Cajazeirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Atlético … vs Nacional … 1-0
Jan 29 Atlético … vs Serra Bra… 1-0
Jan 25 Atlético … vs Treze 1-2
Jan 21 Atlético … vs EC de Pat… 1-0
Jan 17 Atlético … vs Campinense 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Cajazeirense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sousa to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
Sousa Power 0
Atlético Cajazeirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Sousa Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Atlético Cajazeirense Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.