AI Match Insights

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CBF Brasileiro U20 May 16, 2024

São Paulo U20

Home
VS
22:00

Cruzeiro U20

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
São Paulo U20 Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cruzeiro U20 Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.43 - 1.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.8
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Paulo U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Cruzeiro U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
São Paulo U20 Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 São Paulo… vs Botafogo … 1-3
Apr 10 São Paulo… vs Grêmio U20 2-0
Apr 13 São Paulo… vs Fortaleza… 0-1
Mar 11 São Paulo… vs Cruzeiro … 2-1
Mar 06 São Paulo… vs Santos U20 3-2
Jul 31 São Paulo… vs Cruzeiro … 1-1
Jul 16 São Paulo… vs Fortaleza… 0-1
Jun 20 São Paulo… vs Atlético … 3-2
Jan 20 São Paulo… vs Cruzeiro … 1-2
Sep 27 São Paulo… vs Atlético … 0-1
Cruzeiro U20 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Cruzeiro … vs Santos U20 0-3
Apr 12 Cruzeiro … vs Santos U20 7-3
Mar 11 Cruzeiro … vs São Paulo… 2-1
Jul 31 Cruzeiro … vs São Paulo… 1-1
Jan 20 Cruzeiro … vs São Paulo… 1-2
Oct 04 Cruzeiro … vs Santos U20 3-0
Aug 07 Cruzeiro … vs São Paulo… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • São Paulo U20 struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Cruzeiro U20 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2023 São Paulo U20 2 - 1 Cruzeiro U20 CBF Brasileiro…
Jul 31, 2022 Cruzeiro U20 1 - 1 São Paulo U20 CBF Brasileiro…
Jan 20, 2022 Cruzeiro U20 1 - 2 São Paulo U20 São Paulo Yout…
Aug 07, 2021 São Paulo U20 0 - 1 Cruzeiro U20 CBF Brasileiro…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: São Paulo U20 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Paulo U20 Power 0
Cruzeiro U20 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.