AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 16, 2025

Fiorentina

Home
VS
11:30

Como

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Fiorentina Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Como Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 2.39 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Fiorentina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Fiorentina Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Fiorentina vs Inter 2-1
Feb 06 Fiorentina vs Inter 3-0
Feb 02 Fiorentina vs Genoa 2-1
Jan 26 Fiorentina vs Lazio 1-2
Jan 19 Fiorentina vs Torino 1-1
Jan 13 Fiorentina vs Monza 2-1
Jan 04 Fiorentina vs Napoli 0-3
Dec 29 Fiorentina vs Juventus 2-2
Dec 29 Fiorentina vs Juventus 2-2
Dec 23 Fiorentina vs Udinese 1-2
Como Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Como vs Juventus 1-2
Feb 01 Como vs Bologna 2-0
Jan 25 Como vs Atalanta 1-2
Jan 20 Como vs Udinese 4-1
Jan 14 Como vs AC Milan 1-2
Jan 10 Como vs Lazio 1-1
Dec 30 Como vs Lecce 2-0
Dec 30 Como vs Lecce 2-0
Dec 23 Como vs Inter 2-0
Dec 23 Como vs Inter 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fiorentina in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Como struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 24, 2024 Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fiorentina Power 44
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Fiorentina Position

-12

Position Gap

6

Como Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.