AI Match Insights

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Serie A Nov 24, 2024

Como

Home
VS
14:00

Fiorentina

Away
AI Predictions 52.4% Confidence
Como Win
17.0%
Draw
30.6%
Fiorentina Win
52.4%
Away Win (52% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 0.30 - 4.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Fiorentina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (14%) 0-2 (11%) 0-1 (5%) 1-3 (4%) 1-2 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Como Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Como vs Genoa 1-1
Nov 04 Como vs Empoli 1-0
Oct 31 Como vs Lazio 1-5
Oct 31 Como vs Lazio 1-5
Oct 25 Como vs Torino 1-0
Oct 25 Como vs Torino 1-0
Oct 19 Como vs Parma 1-1
Oct 04 Como vs Napoli 3-1
Sep 29 Como vs Verona 3-2
Sep 24 Como vs Atalanta 2-3
Fiorentina Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Fiorentina vs Verona 3-1
Nov 10 Fiorentina vs Verona 3-1
Nov 03 Fiorentina vs Torino 0-1
Oct 31 Fiorentina vs Genoa 0-1
Oct 31 Fiorentina vs Genoa 0-1
Oct 27 Fiorentina vs AS Roma 5-1
Oct 20 Fiorentina vs Lecce 0-6
Oct 06 Fiorentina vs AC Milan 2-1
Oct 06 Fiorentina vs AC Milan 2-1
Sep 29 Fiorentina vs Empoli 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fiorentina in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
  • Como struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

PRO: Como to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Como Power 45
Fiorentina Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Como Position

+12

Position Gap

18

Fiorentina Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.