AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Mar 29, 2025

Paysandu SC

Home
VS
00:00

Capitao Poco

Away
AI Predictions 62.5% Confidence
Paysandu SC Win
62.5%
Draw
21.5%
Capitao Poco Win
16.0%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Paysandu SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Capitao Poco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Paysandu SC Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Paysandu … vs São Raimu… 3-0
Mar 02 Paysandu … vs Castanhal 2-0
Jan 28 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 2-1
Jan 19 Paysandu … vs Capitao P… 4-1
Nov 24 Paysandu … vs Vila Nova 2-1
Nov 16 Paysandu … vs Novorizon… 1-1
Nov 12 Paysandu … vs Brusque 1-0
Nov 05 Paysandu … vs Ponte Pre… 1-2
Oct 26 Paysandu … vs Ceará 2-1
Oct 24 Paysandu … vs Corinthia… 2-1
Capitao Poco Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Capitao P… vs Independi… 1-1
Feb 23 Capitao P… vs Bragantin… 1-1
Feb 16 Capitao P… vs São Franc… 2-0
Jan 19 Capitao P… vs Paysandu … 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paysandu SC in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2025 Paysandu SC 4 - 1 Capitao Poco Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paysandu SC to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paysandu SC Power 0
Capitao Poco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Paysandu SC Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Capitao Poco Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.