AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azadegan League Feb 09, 2026

Nassaji Mazandaran

Home
VS
11:30

Shahrdari Noshahr

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Nassaji Mazandaran Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Shahrdari Noshahr Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.02 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nassaji Mazandaran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Shahrdari Noshahr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Nassaji Mazandaran Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Nassaji M… vs Sanat Naft 2-1
Jan 27 Nassaji M… vs Pars Jono… 1-2
Jan 20 Nassaji M… vs Naft Band… 1-1
Dec 26 Nassaji M… vs Ario Esla… 0-1
Dec 19 Nassaji M… vs Fard Albo… 0-0
Dec 12 Nassaji M… vs Havadar 1-1
Dec 06 Nassaji M… vs Naft Gach… 3-0
Nov 28 Nassaji M… vs Mes Shahr… 2-1
Nov 20 Nassaji M… vs Saipa 0-0
Nov 14 Nassaji M… vs Mes Soong… 1-0
Shahrdari Noshahr Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Shahrdari… vs Damash Gi… 1-1
Jan 26 Shahrdari… vs Shenavars… 1-1
Jan 20 Shahrdari… vs Be'sat Ke… 2-0
Dec 26 Shahrdari… vs Mes Soong… 1-0
Dec 20 Shahrdari… vs Niroye Za… 1-1
Dec 13 Shahrdari… vs Saipa 0-1
Dec 06 Shahrdari… vs Mes Kerman 0-0
Nov 28 Shahrdari… vs Sanat Naft 0-1
Nov 22 Shahrdari… vs Paykan 2-0
Nov 14 Shahrdari… vs Navad Urm… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2025 Nassaji Mazandaran 0 - 1 Shahrdari Noshahr Azadegan League
Final Verdict

PRO: Nassaji Mazandaran to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nassaji Mazandaran Power 0
Shahrdari Noshahr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Nassaji Mazandaran Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Shahrdari Noshahr Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.