AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azadegan League Feb 09, 2026

Mes Shahr-e Babak

Home
VS
10:30

Ario Eslamshahr

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Mes Shahr-e Babak Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Ario Eslamshahr Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.70 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mes Shahr-e Babak Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Ario Eslamshahr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Mes Shahr-e Babak Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Mes Shahr… vs Fard Albo… 1-1
Jan 27 Mes Shahr… vs Havadar 3-0
Jan 21 Mes Shahr… vs Pars Jono… 2-2
Jan 03 Mes Shahr… vs Mes Soong… 0-1
Dec 27 Mes Shahr… vs Naft Gach… 1-1
Dec 20 Mes Shahr… vs Malavan B… 3-0
Dec 12 Mes Shahr… vs Shenavars… 1-0
Dec 06 Mes Shahr… vs Niroye Za… 1-1
Nov 28 Mes Shahr… vs Nassaji M… 2-1
Nov 21 Mes Shahr… vs Fajr Sepa… 0-0
Ario Eslamshahr Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Ario Esla… vs Havadar 0-0
Jan 27 Ario Esla… vs Mes Soong… 0-1
Jan 21 Ario Esla… vs Naft Gach… 0-0
Jan 03 Ario Esla… vs Shenavars… 1-0
Dec 26 Ario Esla… vs Nassaji M… 0-1
Dec 13 Ario Esla… vs Damash Gi… 3-1
Dec 06 Ario Esla… vs Be'sat Ke… 1-1
Nov 27 Ario Esla… vs Saipa 0-1
Nov 14 Ario Esla… vs Naft Band… 1-1
Nov 08 Ario Esla… vs Niroye Za… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2025 Mes Shahr-e Babak 0 - 0 Ario Eslamshahr Azadegan League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mes Shahr-e Babak to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mes Shahr-e Babak Power 0
Ario Eslamshahr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mes Shahr-e Babak Position

+8

Position Gap

10

Ario Eslamshahr Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.