AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League Cup Feb 11, 2026

Nottingham Forest U21

Home
VS
19:00

Sunderland U21

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Nottingham Forest U21 Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland U21 Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.33 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nottingham Forest U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Sunderland U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Nottingham Forest U21 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Nottingha… vs Real Soci… 0-1
Jan 30 Nottingha… vs Derby Cou… 0-0
Jan 26 Nottingha… vs Reading F… 0-1
Jan 23 Nottingha… vs Swansea C… 1-1
Jan 19 Nottingha… vs Paris Sai… 2-0
Jan 12 Nottingha… vs Blackburn… 0-3
Dec 22 Nottingha… vs Wolves U21 0-1
Dec 16 Nottingha… vs Millwall … 1-4
Dec 12 Nottingha… vs Millwall … 2-1
Dec 03 Nottingha… vs Benfica 1-1
Sunderland U21 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sunderlan… vs Leicester… 3-2
Jan 26 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 2-2
Jan 21 Sunderlan… vs Borussia … 1-3
Jan 16 Sunderlan… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Dec 22 Sunderlan… vs Colcheste… 4-2
Dec 12 Sunderlan… vs Norwich C… 1-1
Dec 06 Sunderlan… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Dec 01 Sunderlan… vs Bromley U… 4-0
Nov 25 Sunderlan… vs FC Halifa… 1-1
Nov 20 Sunderlan… vs Sporting … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2025 Nottingham Forest U… 2 - 0 Sunderland U21 Premier League…
Apr 04, 2025 Sunderland U21 0 - 0 Nottingham Forest U… Premier League…
Mar 08, 2024 Nottingham Forest U… 2 - 1 Sunderland U21 Premier League…
Jan 12, 2024 Nottingham Forest U… 0 - 5 Sunderland U21 Premier League…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nottingham Forest U21 to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nottingham Forest U21 Power 47
Sunderland U21 Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.