AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Jan 25, 2026

Deportivo Upala

Home
VS
17:00

Inter San Carlos

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Deportivo Upala Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Inter San Carlos Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.29 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Upala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Inter San Carlos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Deportivo Upala Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa 3-2
Nov 16 Deportivo… vs ADR Jicar… 5-2
Nov 02 Deportivo… vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Oct 26 Deportivo… vs AD Sarchí 1-1
Oct 19 Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… 3-0
Oct 12 Deportivo… vs Inter San… 0-0
Oct 09 Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa 4-2
Oct 05 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 2-1
Sep 28 Deportivo… vs ADR Jicar… 1-2
Sep 17 Deportivo… vs Antioquia 3-0
Inter San Carlos Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Inter San… vs Puntarena… 1-0
Jan 19 Inter San… vs Sporting … 3-0
Jan 17 Inter San… vs AD Sarchí 3-3
Jan 13 Inter San… vs Perez Zel… 3-1
Dec 28 Inter San… vs AD Cofutpa 3-1
Dec 24 Inter San… vs AD Cofutpa 1-2
Dec 07 Inter San… vs LD Alajue… 0-2
Dec 07 Inter San… vs Quepos Ca… 3-0
Dec 04 Inter San… vs Quepos Ca… 0-3
Nov 30 Inter San… vs CS Heredi… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Inter San Carlos in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Deportivo Upala struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 12, 2025 Deportivo Upala 0 - 0 Inter San Carlos Liga de Ascenso
Aug 31, 2025 Inter San Carlos 2 - 1 Deportivo Upala Liga de Ascenso
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Upala Power 0
Inter San Carlos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Deportivo Upala Position

-5

Position Gap

1

Inter San Carlos Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.