AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 04, 2024

Millonarios

Home
VS
23:20

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Deportivo Pasto Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.79 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Millonarios Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Oct 02 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Sep 29 Millonari… vs Envigado 3-0
Jul 21 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Jul 19 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-1
Jul 09 Millonari… vs River Pla… 1-1
Jul 07 Millonari… vs America d… 2-3
Jul 04 Millonari… vs Llaneros 3-1
Jun 30 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Jun 23 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 3-1
Oct 24 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Oct 24 Deportivo… vs America d… 0-0
Oct 20 Deportivo… vs Junior 3-1
Oct 18 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 1-2
Oct 17 Deportivo… vs America d… 2-0
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 2-1
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 1-1
Oct 04 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Oct 03 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.