AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Apr 15, 2024

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
23:20

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Millonarios Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.16 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Deportivo Pasto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 0-1
Apr 01 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 2-4
Mar 30 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 0-0
Mar 05 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Mar 02 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 0-1
Mar 01 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-0
Feb 26 Deportivo… vs Junior 3-3
Feb 24 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 0-1
Feb 20 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Feb 18 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Millonarios Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Millonari… vs Envigado 1-1
Jan 29 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Jan 25 Millonari… vs Junior 2-0
Jan 21 Millonari… vs Independi… 5-0
Jan 19 Millonari… vs Junior 1-0
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Atlético … 0-1
Dec 04 Millonari… vs America d… 1-0
Dec 01 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-1
Nov 26 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-0
Nov 24 Millonari… vs Atlético … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Deportivo Pasto to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.