AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Jul 16, 2023

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
01:20

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Millonarios Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.23 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.5 Position gap: 17 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Deportivo Pasto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 11 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 3-0
May 28 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 0-0
May 14 Deportivo… vs Junior 0-0
May 14 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-0
May 12 Deportivo… vs Jaguares 1-1
May 04 Deportivo… vs Jaguares 1-0
Apr 30 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 2-0
Apr 22 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 0-0
Apr 16 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 2-2
Apr 13 Deportivo… vs Independi… 3-0
Millonarios Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 17 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-1
Jun 11 Millonari… vs Chico 2-1
May 28 Millonari… vs Chico 1-0
May 21 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-2
May 14 Millonari… vs Chico 1-1
Apr 30 Millonari… vs Junior 1-0
Apr 09 Millonari… vs Independi… 2-1
Mar 23 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Jan 29 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-3
Jan 15 Millonari… vs River Pla… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Deportivo Pasto to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.