AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Apr 15, 2023

Boca Juniors

Home
VS
22:00

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Boca Juniors Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 4.50 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8 Position gap: 29 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Boca Juniors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Boca Juniors Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 2-0
Jul 24 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 3-1
Jun 16 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 5-3
May 22 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 3-0
May 07 Boca Juni… vs Tigre 0-2
Mar 14 Boca Juni… vs Estudiant… 0-1
Nov 30 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 0-0
Feb 22 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 0-1
Nov 29 Boca Juni… vs Newell’s … 2-0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Estudiant… vs Independi… 1-2
Oct 23 Estudiant… vs CA Estudi… 0-1
Sep 20 Estudiant… vs Defensa y… 1-2
Aug 19 Estudiant… vs Argentino… 1-0
Jul 24 Estudiant… vs Boca Juni… 3-1
Jun 21 Estudiant… vs Independi… 2-1
May 11 Estudiant… vs Argentino… 1-1
Apr 17 Estudiant… vs CA Estudi… 2-1
Mar 14 Estudiant… vs Boca Juni… 0-1
Feb 13 Estudiant… vs Independi… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Boca Juniors in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 24, 2022 Boca Juniors 3 - 1 Estudiantes de Rio … Liga Profesion…
Mar 14, 2022 Estudiantes de Rio … 0 - 1 Boca Juniors Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Boca Juniors to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 29
Boca Juniors Power 0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Boca Juniors Position

+29

Position Gap

30

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.