AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Alagoas Feb 11, 2026

Aliança AL

Home
VS
18:00

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Aliança AL Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Aliança AL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Aliança AL Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Aliança AL vs Dimensão … 3-0
Sep 17 Aliança AL vs Zumbi 2-1
Sep 13 Aliança AL vs Jacyobá 5-0
Aug 30 Aliança AL vs Agrimaq 2-3
Aug 24 Aliança AL vs Cruzeiro … 3-0
Aug 17 Aliança AL vs Guaraní A… 1-0
Aug 13 Aliança AL vs Figueiren… 2-0
Feb 04 Aliança AL vs Coruripe 1-2
Feb 01 Aliança AL vs CRB II 1-0
Jan 27 Aliança AL vs Coruripe 2-1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Cruzeiro … vs CSA 3-0
Jan 31 Cruzeiro … vs Coruripe 2-1
Jan 28 Cruzeiro … vs CRB II 0-0
Jan 24 Cruzeiro … vs Murici FC 0-2
Jan 21 Cruzeiro … vs CRB 1-0
Jan 18 Cruzeiro … vs CSE 1-2
Jan 14 Cruzeiro … vs ASA 2-4
Jan 10 Cruzeiro … vs Penedense 1-0
Oct 18 Cruzeiro … vs Guaraní A… 2-2
Oct 12 Cruzeiro … vs Guaraní A… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aliança AL struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Cruzeiro Arapiraca struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2025 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 3 - 0 Aliança AL Alagoano - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aliança AL to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aliança AL Power 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.