AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Jan 27, 2025

Al-Qadisiyah

Home
VS
17:00

Al-Ahli Saudi

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Al-Qadisiyah Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 1.94 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Al-Qadisiyah Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Wehda … 0-3
Dec 06 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Akhdoud 0-3
Nov 29 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Khalee… 1-0
Nov 22 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Nassr 1-2
Nov 07 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Fateh … 2-0
Nov 02 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ettifaq 0-2
Oct 28 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Wehda … 1-2
Oct 25 Al-Qadisi… vs Damac 2-1
Oct 19 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ittiha… 3-1
Oct 04 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Riyadh 2-1
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh 5-0
Jan 20 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-2
Jan 16 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 9-0
Jan 15 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 1-0
Dec 07 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… 2-4
Dec 03 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Dhafra 3-0
Nov 23 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Khalee… 3-2
Nov 22 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 0-1
Nov 04 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Shorta… 5-1
Nov 01 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Qadisiyah in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2024 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 0 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
May 23, 2023 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah First Division…
Jan 10, 2023 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi First Division…
May 14, 2021 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Mar 20, 2021 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Jan 08, 2021 Al-Qadisiyah 3 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Dec 21, 2020 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Qadisiyah Power 0
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al-Qadisiyah Position

-1

Position Gap

3

Al-Ahli Saudi Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.