AI Match Insights

Serie A Women Nov 24, 2024

Fiorentina Women

Home
VS
11:30

AC Milan Women

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Fiorentina Women Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
AC Milan Women Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.95 - 1.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fiorentina Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
AC Milan Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Fiorentina Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Fiorentin… vs Napoli Wo… 0-0
Nov 09 Fiorentin… vs Roma Women 1-0
Oct 19 Fiorentin… vs Lazio Wom… 3-2
Oct 05 Fiorentin… vs Como Women 3-1
Sep 14 Fiorentin… vs AC Milan … 1-2
Aug 30 Fiorentin… vs Napoli Wo… 1-0
May 19 Fiorentin… vs Roma Women 5-0
May 06 Fiorentin… vs Juventus … 0-2
May 01 Fiorentin… vs Inter Mil… 2-2
Apr 27 Fiorentin… vs Sassuolo … 4-4
AC Milan Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 AC Milan … vs Como Women 0-1
Oct 06 AC Milan … vs Napoli Wo… 0-1
Sep 22 AC Milan … vs Inter Mil… 1-1
Sep 14 AC Milan … vs Fiorentin… 1-2
Sep 01 AC Milan … vs Como Women 1-0
May 18 AC Milan … vs Sampdoria 3-1
May 12 AC Milan … vs Napoli Wo… 1-1
May 05 AC Milan … vs Como Women 1-0
May 01 AC Milan … vs Pomigliano 2-2
Apr 21 AC Milan … vs Sampdoria 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fiorentina Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • AC Milan Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2024 AC Milan Women 1 - 2 Fiorentina Women Serie A Women
Feb 03, 2024 AC Milan Women 2 - 2 Fiorentina Women Serie A Women
Nov 04, 2023 Fiorentina Women 1 - 0 AC Milan Women Serie A Women
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fiorentina Women Power 0
AC Milan Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Fiorentina Women Position

-2

Position Gap

4

AC Milan Women Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.