AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sudani Premier League Feb 11, 2026

Merreikh Kosti

Home
VS
13:30

Umm Mughad

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Merreikh Kosti Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Umm Mughad Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 0.30 - 2.09
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Merreikh Kosti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Umm Mughad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (20%) 0-1 (19%) 0-3 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 1-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Merreikh Kosti Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Merreikh … vs Al Ahli K… 1-5
Feb 02 Merreikh … vs Al Hilal … 0-0
Jan 29 Merreikh … vs Al Rabta … 0-2
Jan 23 Merreikh … vs Umm Mughad 4-0
Jan 19 Merreikh … vs Al Ahli W… 2-0
Jan 16 Merreikh … vs Al Ahli K… 0-0
Jan 11 Merreikh … vs Al Hilal … 0-2
Jan 08 Merreikh … vs Al Rabta … 1-0
Umm Mughad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Umm Mughad vs Al Rabta … 2-0
Jan 31 Umm Mughad vs Al Ahli W… 2-1
Jan 28 Umm Mughad vs Al Hilal … 1-1
Jan 23 Umm Mughad vs Merreikh … 4-0
Jan 20 Umm Mughad vs Al Ahli K… 2-2
Jan 15 Umm Mughad vs Al Rabta … 0-3
Jan 11 Umm Mughad vs Al Ahli W… 1-3
Jan 07 Umm Mughad vs Al Hilal … 0-0
Feb 04 Umm Mughad vs Kober 2-1
Feb 01 Umm Mughad vs Hay Al Wa… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Merreikh Kosti struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 23, 2026 Umm Mughad 4 - 0 Merreikh Kosti Sudani Premier…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Merreikh Kosti to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Merreikh Kosti Power 0
Umm Mughad Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.