AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sudani Premier League Feb 06, 2026

Hay Al Wadi

Home
VS
13:15

Al Fajr

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Hay Al Wadi Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Al Fajr Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.61 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.1
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hay Al Wadi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Al Fajr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Hay Al Wadi Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Hay Al Wa… vs Hilal El-… 0-0
Jan 29 Hay Al Wa… vs Haidob En… 1-1
Jan 23 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Merrei… 2-2
Jan 20 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Zamala… 1-2
Jan 17 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Fajr 2-1
Jan 13 Hay Al Wa… vs Hilal El-… 1-0
Jan 09 Hay Al Wa… vs Haidob En… 1-0
Jul 21 Hay Al Wa… vs Alamal At… 1-1
Jul 18 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Hilal … 1-2
Jul 16 Hay Al Wa… vs Al Hilal … 3-3
Al Fajr Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Al Fajr vs Haidob En… 2-1
Jan 27 Al Fajr vs Al Merrei… 3-0
Jan 24 Al Fajr vs Al Zamala… 1-0
Jan 21 Al Fajr vs Hilal El-… 1-1
Jan 17 Al Fajr vs Hay Al Wa… 2-1
Jan 12 Al Fajr vs Haidob En… 2-2
Jan 07 Al Fajr vs Al Merrei… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Fajr in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2026 Al Fajr 2 - 1 Hay Al Wadi Sudani Premier…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hay Al Wadi to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hay Al Wadi Power 0
Al Fajr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.